This file includes my entire correspondence with the NRC.
Since I have no permission to print the correspondence from the NRC, I have edited out the name and e-mail address of their representative and replaced it with "[correspondent]", as well as replacing his words with a paraphrase in my own words. I was v ery careful not to use his words, but was still careful to relay the exact sense of his statements line by line.
The messages listed here are:
From dwf4930@is2.NYU.EDU Thu Sep 21 14:40:04 1995 Date: Thu, 21 Sep 1995 14:40:03 -0400 (EDT) From: "David W. Fenton"To: news@nas.edu Subject: Doctoral-Research Report Message-ID: MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: TEXT/PLAIN; charset=US-ASCII Status: RO X-Status: I would like to know if there is an E-Mail address for anyone with whom I might discuss extreme inaccuracies in the data reported about doctoral Music programs in the report "Research-Doctorate Programs in the United States: Continuity and Change." This is the only E-Mail address I have found on your WWW page. I hope it is the correct one to request this information. Thank you. David W. Fenton New York University dwf4930@is2.nyu.edu http://pages.nyu.edu/~dwf4930
From [contact]@nas.edu Fri Sep 22 09:49:55 1995 Received: from darius.nas.edu by is2.NYU.EDU; (5.65/1.1.8.2/23Sep94-1121PM) id AA29781; Fri, 22 Sep 1995 09:49:54 -0400 Received: from nas.edu (chariot.nas.edu [144.171.1.14]) by darius.nas.edu (8.6.11/8.6.10) with SMTP id JAA13319 for; Fri, 22 Sep 1995 09:49:54 -0400 Received: from cc:Mail by nas.edu id AA811788509; Fri, 22 Sep 95 09:42:00 EST Date: Fri, 22 Sep 95 09:42:00 EST From: "[contact] <[contact]@nas.edu> Encoding: 18 Text, 31 Text Message-Id: <9508228117.AA811788509@nas.edu> To: "David W. Fenton" Cc: [person1]@nas.edu, [person2]@nas.edu Subject: Doctoral-Research Report Status: RO X-Status:
[says that my request has been forwarded to the appropriate people, and that if I don't hear from them within a week, that I should call a telephone number and speak to someone directly]
From [correspondent]@nas.edu Date: Mon, 25 Sep 95 08:46:00 EST From: [correspondent] <[correspondent]@nas.edu> To: dwf4930@is2.NYU.EDU
[the correspondent at the NRC responded by inviting my inquiring via e-mail or phone]
From dwf4930@is2.NYU.EDU Mon Sep 25 19:56:20 1995 Date: Mon, 25 Sep 1995 19:56:18 -0400 (EDT) From: "David W. Fenton"To: [correspondent] <[correspondent]@nas.edu> Subject: Research-Doc Study In-Reply-To: <9508258120.AA812044379@nas.edu> Message-ID: MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: TEXT/PLAIN; charset=US-ASCII Status: O X-Status: I have not been in a position to see the full report (I hope to in the next few days), but I have examined the data available for download across the Internet. There are very serious problems with the reported numbers of faculty in the field of Music. I have checked the report's numbers against the listings of music faculty in the College Music Society's Directory for 1992-94. Apparently, the numbers reported by the Institutional Coordinators were not all based on the same criteria for inclusion. If the numbers are wrong, this suggests that the faculty lists that formed the basis for the survey were also wrong. At the very least, it suggests that unlike departments were being compared to each other (full-scale music schools vs. small, one-program academic music programs). It would also seem that some music programs counted _all_ graduate faculty, while others counted just those involved in teaching doctoral students, while still others limited the count to those teaching in Ph.D. programs, while still others limited it to selected Ph.D. programs. The summary of my investigation reads as follows: --------------- Summary: One of the areas of data reported by the National Research Council in its report "Research-Doctorate Programs in the United States: Continuity and Change" is the number of faculty in the surveyed programs. A comparison of the report's numbers for the field of Music and the College Music Society's Directory of Music Faculties in Colleges and Universities, U.S. and Canada for the same period reveals numerous discrepancies with the numbers reported by the NRC. The data on faculty used in the National Research Councils's report were collected from "Institutional Coordinators" at each of the schools surveyed. It appears that each institution used different criteria for reporting its faculty, therefore invalidating any comparison based on these data. Since these same "Institutional Coordinators" also provided the lists of faculty members used in the survey which constituted the thrust of the National Research Councils's study, the accuracy of the information on which the survey was based is also called into question, consequently casting grave doubt upon the validity of the survey results as a whole. In addition, anomalies appear in other information included in the report, including data on faculty awards and data on student populations. Since these data form the basis for numerous hypothesized correlations with program rankings in the survey, should these data prove inaccurate, the correlations would need to be discarded even if the survey rankings themselves were to prove valid. Since the data from the "Institutional Coordinators" about Music programs appear to have been used without testing its accuracy or validity, the conclusions of the entire report must be put aside for the field of Music until the data on which it is based is proven accurate. ----------------- My own department here at NYU is under pressure from the University about why we have dropped in the rankings. The stakes are rather high -- we could stand to lose funding, or even faculty. It is very important to know whether the Research-Doc Study was sufficiently well-conducted in the field of Music to justify such pressures. Once I am able to examine the full report, I will be happy to forward my critique. However, in the meantime, I look forward to your prompt response. David W. Fenton New York University dwf4930@is2.nyu.edu http://pages.nyu.edu/~dwf4930
From dwf4930@is2.NYU.EDU Date: Tue, 3 Oct 1995 22:36:21 -0400 (EDT) From: "David W. Fenton"To: [correspondent] <[correspondent]@nas.edu> Subject: Doctoral-Research Study I wrote to you a while back about problems I have found in the study for the field of music. As I have not heard a response to my reservations, I have gone ahead and written them up. You can view them at: http://pages.nyu.edu/~dwf4930/nrc_report/nrc_rept.html A small group of people is reviewing this document, and, once corrections are made, I will be making it publicly available from my home page, and I will announce its existence to the Internet mailing lists of the American Musicological Society and of the Society for Music Theory (to which well over 500 individuals subscribe). The allegations are serious, and you should have an opportunity to answer them before I go public. Should you desire to review my report in some more accessible form (it is Netscape optimized), please don't hesitate to ask. Will I be hearing from you? David W. Fenton New York University dwf4930@is2.nyu.edu http://pages.nyu.edu/~dwf4930
From [correspondent]@nas.edu Date: Wed, 04 Oct 95 08:52:00 EST From: [correspondent] <[correspondent]@nas.edu> To: dwf4930@is2.NYU.EDU Subject: Re: Doctoral-Research Study
[the NRC representative apologized for not getting back to me sooner, but he was reviewing the response form for Music, and checking the info. in the '82 study.]
[he asserts that the numbers for faculty members are correct insofar as they represent the numbers reported by the ICs. He says that the NRC had no way of knowing if they submitted long or short lists, and asks if the CMS Directory is for resear ch faculty only. He defends the IC data on the grounds that the institutional administrations should be the ones best able to determine who their research faculty are. He advises me that I should check with the NYU representative to see why he reported th e numbers for NYU that he did. He also says that it would have been possible to have consulted with all 4,000 of the surveyed programs, and that they relied on the data from the ICs.]
[he says that the NRC in fact is aware of the mix of theory and performance specializations, and clearly requested only research faculty on the lists from the ICs. In response to my point about Juilliard, he says that they did not participate this time , possibly because after the 1982 report they were identify as one program which was not really a research-doctorate program, and asks if this could be a reason why the numbers are not the same]
[he says that the other information in the report (the data sources and the way the data were collected) is explained in the full report. He asks if I have found any specific errors there so that he could confirm their procedures]
[he quotes a paragraph from my web page, saying that he could not get to my main report. This was my fault, because I had not set access rights correctly]
[he says he will say more once he's been able to read my report]
[quoted material deleted]
My response follows.
Click here to read a second attempt at justification.
From dwf4930@is2.NYU.EDU Date: Wed, 4 Oct 1995 17:43:45 -0400 (EDT) From: "David W. Fenton"To: [correspondent] <[correspondent]@nas.edu> Subject: Re: Doctoral-Research Study Sorry the web page is not accessible -- there were errors in it, anyway. I'll try moving it up one directory and see if that helps. I'll also forward the HTML files to you directly with this message (all of them are attached -- dump them into any directory accessible with your WWW viewer, and you should have no trouble with them). On Wed, 4 Oct 1995, [correspondent] wrote:
[he asserts that the numbers for faculty members are correct insofar as they represent the numbers reported by the ICs. He says that the NRC had no way of knowing if they submitted long or short lists, and asks if the CMS Directory is for resear ch faculty only. He defends the IC data on the grounds that the institutional administrations should be the ones best able to determine who their research faculty are. He advises me that I should check with the NYU representative to see why he reported th e numbers for NYU that he did. . .]
The numbers of faculty at NYU are essentially correct. The numbers of students, reported Ph.D.'s and assistantships are grossly inaccurate.
[. . .He also says that it would have been possible to have consulted with all 4,000 of the surveyed programs, and that they relied on the data from the ICs.]
But this is precisely my point. You did not check to see whether the data reported by the ICs was in fact the data you requested. You collected the data and based your entire survey on it, apparently without ever having verified its correspondence to reality. I'm not saying you should have contacted the departments directly, only that you should have had some instrument in place for testing the accuracy of the data on which you so heavily relied. Is that not standard procedure for a survey of this nature? Was no sampling done to see if there was any degree of error in the reports from the ICs? The representative at NYU who supplied the data was clearly in error. Why? I do not know. The error remains. Should the authors of the survey have detected it? If it were the only error, of course not -- that would be asking far too much of what was already an ambitious undertaking. However, the weaknesses in the rest of the data suggest that you accepted the data entirely without verification. If that is true, I don't see how you can claim any validity for the survey results at all.
[he says that the NRC in fact is aware of the mix of theory and performance specializations, and clearly requested only research faculty on the lists from the ICs. In response to my point about Juilliard, he says that they did not participate this time , possibly because after the 1982 report they were identify as one program which was not really a research-doctorate program, and asks if this could be a reason why the numbers are not the same]
But some of the ICs clearly reported _all_ faculty, including performance, while others did not. This negates any comparison. It also shows that, despite your best intentions, the data reported by the ICs was not what you had requested. This apparently went undetected until now. Given that NYU's School of Education Dept. of Music (which awards a Ph.D. in Music Education) was omitted (while the GSAS Music Dept. was included), it is not clear to me what constitutes a "research-doctorate" program, particularly given the fact that Temple University is included in the survey but awards only one Ph.D., in Music Education. If Temple should be in the survey, why is NYU's SEHNAP Music Dept. omitted? If the latter was correctly omitted, why is Temple included? Where is the consistency in reporting? My point is not to defend/correct the data about NYU. I notice the mistakes at my home institution only because that is the one with which I am most familiar. My point is that the IC data are completely inconsistent. If the ICs didn't get the _numbers_ right, it follows that the faculty lists on which the entire survey was based must be correspondingly wrong.
[he says that the other information in the report (the data sources and the way the data were collected) is explained in the full report. He asks if I have found any specific errors there so that he could confirm their procedures]
I am in the peculiar position of not having seen the full report. I thought that I was going to get access to a copy last week, but that didn't work out. I do not relish the thought of having to spend $65 only to be in a position to point out the errors in the survey. However, even without the main body of the report, my points about the inconsistency of the faculty numbers are sufficient to cast doubt upon the survey rankings, since they, too, were based on data collected from the demonstrably unreliable ICs. Please review the HTML documents. I think you will see the logic of my position, at least in regards to my doubts about the survey for the field of music. David W. Fenton New York University dwf4930@is2.nyu.edu http://pages.nyu.edu/~dwf4930 [Attachments deleted]
From dwf4930@is2.NYU.EDU Date: Thu, 5 Oct 1995 19:10:37 -0400 (EDT) From: "David W. Fenton"To: [correspondent] <[correspondent]@nas.edu> Subject: Re: Doctoral-Research Study I have made some relatively minor corrections to my report, and fixed the access rights. You should be able to see this updated version at the original URL that I gave you. David W. Fenton New York University dwf4930@is2.nyu.edu http://pages.nyu.edu/~dwf4930
From [correspondent]@nas.edu Date: Fri, 06 Oct 95 14:41:00 EST From: [correspondent] <[correspondent]@nas.edu> To: dwf4930@is2.NYU.EDU Cc: [copyright person]@nas.edu Subject: Re: Doctoral-Research Study
[says I need to get the National Academy Press's permission to link to their home page from my material on the Research-Doctorate Study, as well as to use the data presented in my tables. I can get this permission by contacting the person CC'd in his E -Mail message]
From dwf4930@is2.NYU.EDU Date: Fri, 6 Oct 1995 19:32:08 -0400 (EDT) From: "David W. Fenton"To: [copyright person]@nas.edu Cc: [correspondent] <[correspondent]@nas.edu> Subject: Permission to link to and quote from Doctoral-Research Study On the advice of [correspondent], I write seeking permission to: 1. place links on my home page to the Doctoral-Research Study documents on the NAP WWW server (http://www.nas.edu/nap/online/researchdoc) as well as to its component sub-documents, specifically the "Executive Summary" (http://www.nas.edu/nap/online/ researchdoc/summary.html). 2. use the data reported in these downloadable Appendices to the report: - Appendix Table I (Selected Characteristics of Research-Doctorate Programs in Music) - Appendix Table P (Relative Rankings for Research-Doctorate Programs in Music) I ask for this permission in order to publish on the Worldwide Web my critique of the NRC report. The document is available for you to review at: http://pages.nyu.edu/~dwf4930/nrc_report/nrc_rept.html Should you find other areas which I have not mentioned above in which you would prefer an explicit request for permission, please do not hesitate to inform me. This URL will not be publicly distributed until such time as I have received the permissions I request here and until such time as I have received a response indicating the NRC's desires as to whether they would like the opportunity to address my objections. If you have any questions, please do not hesitate to contact me. Thank you. David W. Fenton New York University dwf4930@is2.nyu.edu http://pages.nyu.edu/~dwf4930
From dwf4930@is2.NYU.EDU Date: Fri, 6 Oct 1995 19:37:28 -0400 (EDT) From: "David W. Fenton"To: [correspondent] <[correspondent]@nas.edu> Cc: [copyright person]@nas.edu Subject: Re: Doctoral-Research Study On Fri, 6 Oct 1995, [correspondent] wrote:
[says I need to get the National Academy Press's permission to link to their home page from my material on the Research-Doctorate Study, as well as to use the data presented in my tables. I can get this permission by contacting the person CC'd in his E -Mail message]
Thank you for this information. As I mentioned before, at present I have not made this URL public, pending a response from you on the issue of my main criticism. If you will check the URL below, you will see that, although I have announced my report, it is not yet available from my home page. I think that there can be no copyright violation in establishing a link to a WWW page, regardless of whether it contains copyrighted material, but to demonstrate good faith, I will disable the link to the report. I will, however, include the _text_ of the URL for the home page of the Press (not the report in question). Should I decide to publicize the information on the Worldwide Web, I will not do so until such time as I have received the permission you request that I obtain. However, I believe that I am under no legal obligation to do so, as my use of these materials clearly falls under the concept of "Fair Use," particularly with regard to "Quotation of excerpts in a review or criticism for purposes of illustration or comment;" or "Quotation of short passages in a scholarly or technical work for illustration or clarification of the author's observations" (Copyright Office document FL102, quoting the 1961 Report of the Register of Copyrights on the General Revision of the U.S. Copyright Law). This applies both to my use of quotations from the "Executive Summary" published by the NAP on the WWW, and my presentation of tables of data extracted from the downloaded data files made available by you for download from your FTP site. All of these fully acknowledged uses constitute "fair use" by virtue of their being necessary for the purpose of criticizing the report. Without the data in my tables (not used unchanged, by the way), I would be unable to demonstrate the pattern of error I am alleging. But, as I said, in a spirit of fair play, I have already requested permission to quote these materials. Indeed, I would feel better if I could change my copyright notice to acknowledge the NRC's permission to use the materials. As it stands, I still await a response from you in regard to my criticism. Are you in a position to be able to say when you will answer my objections? Or will you forgo the opportunity to make your own case? If you feel you would like to evaluate the CMS _Directory_ yourself, I would be glad to fax some pages of it to you. And, should you respond in writing, I would be happy (if you approve) to make your unedited response available alongside (and linked to) my own report. In fact, should you choose to publish your own response on the WWW, I would unquestionably include a link to it from my own report. I believe that would be only fair. David W. Fenton New York University dwf4930@is2.nyu.edu http://pages.nyu.edu/~dwf4930
From [copyright persons]@nas.edu Date: Mon, 09 Oct 95 09:47:00 EST From: [copyright person] <[copyright person]@nas.edu> To: dwf4930@is2.nyu.edu Cc: [copyright person]@nas.edu, [correspondent]@nas.edu Subject: Permission PERMISSION TO REPRINT NATIONAL ACADEMY PRESS 2101 CONSTITUTION AVENUE, NW WASHINGTON, DC 20418 October 9, 1995 David W. Fenton New York University Dear Professor Fenton: Thank you for your communication dated October 6, 1995. You requested permission to reprint the following information: Quotations and information, including tabular data, from RESEARCH-DOCTORATE PROGRAMS IN THE UNITED STATES, National Academy Press, 1995, for use in URL posting. NOTE: We grant this permission with no fee based on your description of "fair use" of materials from the published book and the WWW site. Thank you for your interpretation of "fair use." We do not disagree with your interpretation, but we do reserve the right of the publisher in determining what is and what is not fair use of our copyrighted materials. ___X___Your request is granted with a fee of $00.00* for materials originally published in the title cited above and provided that full credit is given to the original publication. Please use the following citation: Reprinted with permission from RESEARCH-DOCTORATE PROGRAMS IN THE UNITED STATES. Copyright 1995 by the National Academy of Sciences. Courtesy of the National Academy Press, Washington, D.C. [you may edit as long as a copyright notice is carried with the site] _______ The Academy cannot grant your request for the following reasons: Please made check payable to NATIONAL ACADEMY PRESS and return with a copy of this permission form to RICHARD E. MORRIS, at the above address. Richard E. Morris Permissions Manager National Academy Press FAX: 202-334-2793 PHONE: 202-334-3335 FED ID: 53-019-6932
From dwf4930@is2.NYU.EDU Date: Tue, 10 Oct 1995 17:19:18 -0400 (EDT) From: "David W. Fenton"To: [correspondent] <[correspondent]@nas.edu> Subject: Further Questions About the Full Report I have finally had access to a hard copy of the NRC report. First let me say that the data collection forms sent to the ICs appear to me to have been adequate to have insured correct information. It's pretty clear what is wanted -- I don't see that they appear open to interpretation. So, in the end, responsibility for any errors has to be lodged with the Institutional Coordinators. Nonetheless, this still leaves the NRC responsible for not having tested the accuracy of this data. Having read these seemingly well-designed forms, it has occured to me for the first time that schools may have purposely mis-represented their faculty lists in an effort to improve their standing in the survey. This possibility makes the ommission of any testing of this data an even more serious flaw. What follows is a compendium of comments drawn from my note-taking file. I'll try to edit them and re-order them so they make the most sense. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- First, a typo: The table that shows which schools produce 80%, 90% and 100% of the A & H Ph.D.',s (C-2, p. 81) has an error in the 100% column. It reads "2,57" when it must be something like 2,57X (given that 90% is 2,337). ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Second, general comments: 1. Apparently, "research-doctoral" simply means "awards a Ph.D." There seems to be nothing in Ch. 2 ("Study Design") which explicitly suggests that any other degree is relevant. Likewise, there is no consideration of the possibility that not all Ph.D.'s are awarded in "research" fields. What was the working definition for determining what degrees were eligible? 2. Given my citation of the omission of Juilliard as an example of a school that issues doctoral degrees (DMAs) but no Ph.D.'s, it is interesting to note that, even though Juilliard was selected as eligible to participate (p. 17), they themselves declined to participate (p. 28, n. 3.). Possibly Juilliard did a better job of interpreting the survey scope than those designing the study? 3. After having seen the program response form, it is difficult for me to imagine how NYU could have reported only 2 students for my department. The form asked for the number of "Ph.D.'s (or equivalent research-doctorates)" which were awarded in each of the years from 1987-88 to 1991-92, specifically asking "Approximately how many full-time and part-time graduate students enrolled in the program at the present time (Fall 1992) intend to earn doctorates?" (App. D., p. 95). Maybe this was erroneously interpreted at NYU to mean students who would earn it in the present year? Apparently "intend" is the key word that must have been misunderstood. How could this have happened if the scope and purpose of the study was clearly explained to the Institutional Coordinators? Exactly where does the apparent incompetence lie? 4. Appendix Table C-1 shows production of Ph.D.'s in the Arts & Humanities, 1986-90 (p. 81). It shows 2,573 Music Ph.D.'s!! Surely this is all doctoral degrees. 5. The description of the survey is somewhat ambiguous in respect to who evaluated whom: "Owing to the fact that the sample was drawn from faculty lists provided by Institutional Coordinators crossing departmental boundaries, respondents occasionally indicated that they did not consider themselves qualified to rate programs in a certain disciplinary area." (App. F, p. 116) Does this mean related but different fields? Or different fields entirely? The letter to raters on p. 118 suggests that it was within a field, and that the "interdisciplinary" problem occurred in fields with well-delineated specializations. Music would fall into this class, which may be why Music was one of four fields which required a followup survey (App. F, p. 116). If this is the case, it would tend to support my hypothesis that the full range of sub-specializations in Music was not foreseen by the designers of the survey. 7. Survey respondents had to indicate their one area of specialization. What were the specializations listed for Music? (App. F, p. 123). 8. The Character of the Doctorate Records File The "Doctorate Records File" is created from date collected in the Survey of Earned Doctorates, conducted by the NAS & NRC (p. 144). I wonder if there has ever been any test of the accuracy of the data collected in this survey, and if there has ever been an attempt to compare different fields to see if the data collection instrument might be better suited to capturing profiles of graduates in the sciences better than in the Humanities? 9. The study finds that "Degree recipients in the Sciences and Engineering are more likely to have received research assistantship (RA) support. . . than students in the Arts and Humanities. . . ." (p. 51). The authors then go on to describe differences in how "research assistantships" relate to doctoral research. However, they clearly do not understand the role played in the Humanities by full-support fellowships, which require neither teaching nor research duties, and allow the student to concentrate on her course-work and research. Apparently, the DRF data does not include any category for this. They also consider the TA/RA juxtaposition to be one between teaching and no teaching. This is a false comparison for the field of Music. They also don't seem to delve into what the DRF data actually mean. How well do the requested categories of data actually fit the way programs in various disciplines really work? The DRF data may very well report what graduates put on their forms, but what if the categories don't fit a graduate's situation? What do the reported numbers mean then? ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Third, examples drawn from the study which indicate that the field of Music tended to be an exception to a number of trends: 1. Sample selection: In Music, 260 raters were selected to rank 65 programs. The sample was adjusted to 255 who were considered qualified. Of the mere 107 completed questionnaires received, one was completed by someone other than the originally selected rater, giving a usable rater percentage of 42%. There were 129 non-respondents with no known reason, 19 actually gave reasons. Music had the lowest response rate in the A & H. Only the Biological Sciences tended to fall in the same range as Music (App. F, Table 1, p. 134), and this is an area identified in the study as one in which there were a number of cross-disciplinary problems, leading to large numbers of respondents feeling unqualified to respond. This suggests the possibility that the same may have been true of the field of Music. 2. In the SELECTED FINDINGS (Ch. 2), modern European language programs are identified as the ones tending to have the fewest faculty (10 to 15, generally; p. 34). Had they correctly classified Music programs (truly only research programs), they would have found something similar, I think. In fact, here are the average numbers of faculty reported: Spanish/Portuguese 13.35 French 12.98 German 11.26 Music 22.36 For Music, my calculation of the average of the NRC's numbers comes out to 21.84 (still rounds the same). However, for the programs where I re-counted the faculty, the average is 14.62. If you put back all the schools which I did not recount, the average comes to 16.71. This is much more in line with my general impression of the size of programs that the scope of the report suggests should have been compared. 3. Music, Philosophy and Spanish/Portuguese are the only Humanities programs where the top quarter does not have the largest average faculty size. There are no other fields in which this is the case (p. 35). Together with my knowledge of the field of music, this suggests to me that the top-rated programs tend not to be the same _kinds_ of programs -- more large, general music schools fall outside the top quarter, and smaller-scale academic programs tend towards the top. Most of the large-scale programs do not belong in the survey at all, for most of the doctorates are not "research" doctorates. This is only an impression, but it would explain the departure from the norm for the field of Music, at least. 4. A point is made of the fact that Faculty awards cluster disproportionately in programs in the top quarter (p. 41). Music is singled out as being one of the fields in which this is most plainly the case -- in fact, Music has a greater drop-off from the first quarter to the lower quarters than any other field in the Humanities. But, they also suggest that this pattern may be indicative of "limitations of the data base. . . ." (p. 41). 5. Music was one of the programs in which average number of faculty is identified as having experienced the most growth (p. 44). Although the data are not directly comparable, the CMS Directory figures run like this: Year Faculty Institutions Average 1980-82 unknown 1982-84 24,796 1,536 16.143229 1984-86 23,392 1,538 16.509752 1986-88 unknown 1988-90 26,666 1,545 17.259546 1990-92 29,663 1,745 16.998853 1992-94 30,582 1,808 16.914823 1993-94 31,138 1,783 17.463825 1994-95 32,124 1,830 17.554098 (Apparently, the CMS went from bi-annual to annual in 1993. I have faxed CMS Publications and posted a message on the AMSList seeking the missing numbers, but have not yeat received them). These numbers don't really support or contradict the NRC finding, but it would be interesting to know if any of the faculties that experienced the greatest increases in faculty size since 1982 were those which I have identified as having misreported their faculty. 6. Overall, in A&H, the top programs produced fewer degrees in the period compared to the 1982 report. Linguistics is pointed out as one field where "degree production" increased, but it also increased for some quarters in Art History (lower two), Music ( top and third) and Spanish and Portuguese (bottom two) (Figure 3-6, p. 45). Why is Music so anomalous on this (the only one where adjacent quarters differ so widely)? Doesn't it suggest that the numbers for Music could be wrong? ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Well, I know that's quite a lot, but it reflects reservations that I have which have emerged from examining the report in full. I do not know if you will choose to respond to these questions or to any of my previous ones, but I will be publicizing my report (along with my new questions) on the WWW sometime this week. I would very much like to hear from you. David W. Fenton New York University dwf4930@is2.nyu.edu http://pages.nyu.edu/~dwf4930
From jvoytuk@nas.edu Date: Wed, 11 Oct 95 09:38:00 EST From: Jim Voytuk[thanks me for my comments. Acknowledges that the IC data are important, but asserts that they are the ones who are in the best position to collect the data. Says that they couldn't check the data because they requested research facul ty and program faculty instead of department faculty. Even if there were some place to verify the IC data for the impossibly large number of programs, who would make the judgement call in the case of discrepancies?]To: dwf4930@is2.NYU.EDU Subject: Re: Further Questions About the Full Report
[thanks me]
[quotation deleted]
From dwf4930@is2.NYU.EDU Date: Wed, 11 Oct 1995 10:48:22 -0400 (EDT) From: "David W. Fenton"To: [correspondent] <[correspondent]@nas.edu> Subject: Re: Further Questions About the Full Report On Wed, 11 Oct 1995, [correspondent] wrote:
[thanks me for my comments. Acknowledges that the IC data are important, but asserts that they are the ones who are in the best position to collect the data. Says that they couldn't check the data because they requested research faculty and program fac ulty instead of department faculty. Even if there were some place to verify the IC data for the impossibly large number of programs, who would make the judgement call in the case of discrepancies?]
At no point have I ever questioned your assertion that the ICs are in the best position to supply the data. That is eminently sensible. The question is one of asking exactly what quality of data they will collect. I am not trained in this field, but from what I have read it seems to me that in cases where data are too voluminous to verify completely, random sampling is usually used to test their validity. That is, you choose a small subset (maybe 5%) and you contact them directly to see if the results you have collected match reality. It's not perfect, but it should at least uncover any large-scale problems with the data collection process. It might not have uncovered the Music problem, for 5% would be only 3 programs, but at least you would have done something to test the data that would be reasonable given the extent of the survey. Further, could the NRC not have had at least one or two knowledgeable people in each of the fields eyeball the data for any obvious inconsistencies, like the report that Indiana University has only 6 faculty members involved in doctoral-research programs? _Everyone_ in my field who has seen the numbers for music has immediately pointed out that number, while also wondering why some of the other departments list such _large_ faculties (e.g., if Indiana reports 6, why does Illinois report 74?). Maybe I'm just repeating myself, but, did the NRC do _anything_ to even _try_ to test the data after they were collected? No matter how general and unscientific it may have been? Wasn't it crucial to the survey that the IC data be valid? Wasn't it important to see if the collection instrument in fact produced the data the survey required? I don't think these are trivial, 20-20 hindsight types of questions. I would have thought that any survey conducted by professionals would consider both ends of the process, rather than taking on faith that a seemingly valid data collection process will actually produce good data (let alone throwing one's hands in the air and saying "But what could we have done? There was too much data too verify"). The admission that the NRC did not verify the data to any level of certainty seriously undermines the credibility of the study as a whole. And in the case of music, where I have demonstrated likely inconsistencies and inaccuries in the data, the survey result should have been discarded entirely, because the inaccurate data make the result too unreliable to be released. Given all the special cases in the treatment of the Music data that I quoted from the report in my previous message, it might have been reasonable for someone to have considered the possibility of inaccurate data. If I'm reading between the lines correctly, it sounds like a resource problem -- maybe you did not have the funds to manage a study of this magnitude at the level you would have liked. In that case, it's truly a tragedy, for the aims and structure of the study appear to me to be laudable. I would be very interested in the answers to my voluminous questions, but I understand that you may not be able to respond to each in any timely manner. Perhaps you will be able to respond on the issues you deem most important. Thank you. David W. Fenton New York University dwf4930@is2.nyu.edu http://pages.nyu.edu/~dwf4930
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