Miscellaneous ruminations on random subjects
 
My homepage
David Fenton Associates
The Scarlet A of Atheism
 
Atom Feed
Atom Feed
Archives
<< current

No Comment
 
Items for Friday, September 19, 2008
 

I Can See Russia From My House! It amuses me greatly that somehow Tina Fey's line on Saturday Night Live impersonating Sarah Palin has become gospel. It seems to me that an awful lot of people think she actually said that.

What interests me is how often Republicans will try to counter this by saying it's a lie. If they try that, they will have to point out that what she actually said was that there are places in Alaska where you can stand and see across the Bering Straits to Russia. In fact, the only such place is an island off the coast of mainland Alaska, and all of Russia that it can see is another island.

This doesn't help their case. Palin may not have literally said she can see Russia from her house, but what she actually said is only marginally less absurd than Tina Fey's version. By trying to correct the misrepresentation, her supporters can do nothing but make matters worse by driving home the point that she's batshit crazy in regard to her claims of any experience with foreign relations.


 
The Future of Windows: Microsoft has a blog for the next version of Windows, called Engineering Windows 7, and it has lots of interesting articles. Today, a post is discussing the Windows ecosystem, and one of the major topics therein is the way OEMs package Windows. I have always been really annoyed with the garbage that gets bundled to load out of the box in a lot of OEM setups, especially when they include trial or limited-feature versions of software that provide important functions. These are the ones that annoy me the most:
  • AV software with limited subscriptions: if you're providing AV software pre-installed, make it at least a one-year subscription!
  • Optical drive software support: Windows should be providing full writability to CD-R/RW and DVD-R/RW without any additional software needed. But in many cases, you have to have somebody else's software installed for your optical drives to work. This means that if you rebuild your system you may not be able to restore full access to these devices.
  • Anything that puts an icon in the system notication area (formerly the "System Tray," which MS denies was ever its real name, despite the fact that its executable was named "SysTray"): I don't need an AOL icon, nor do I need one for QuickTime or Adobe Reader or Windows Media Player or MSN Messenger or Real Player and so forth. Many software manufacturers use the system tray as an advertising venue, and Microsoft should so domething to stop this abuse, in my opinion.

Thus endeth the rant.


Items for Thursday, September 18, 2008
 

McCain Senile? McCain's enormous confusion over Zapatero/Spain really causes me to ask whether or not the man is mentally fit. He often seems to get confused in interviews, and seems truly unable to cope with unexpected questions (e.g., on The View), but I don't recall him ever having not just misinterpreted the questions, but in this case, he couldn't even absorb the clarification kindly offered him by the interviewer.

If he has more of these gaffes, I wonder whether he'll be completely toast.


Items for Tuesday, September 16, 2008
 

Scott Adams -- Still Dumb as a Post: Scott Adams paid out of his own pocket to do a survey of economists on Obama's and McCain's economic policies. While the survey decisively picks Obama's policies over McCain's on 9 out of 13 of the issues (6 by >50%, 3 by plurality). McCain is chosen as superior on only one issue (international trade), and beats Obama on only one other issue (waste in government), but even on that issue gets less support than "neither will make a difference."

So, the poll is pretty darned clear in picking Obama's policies as vastly superior to McCain's in almost every respect -- it really isn't even close.

What is Adams' take-away? That 48% of the respondents were Democrats. His conclusion? They are partisans, so their answers have no merit at all. This is despite the fact that independents (27%) plus Republicans (17%) plus Libertarians (3%) add up to 47% of the survey respondents, which, statistically speaking, exactly balances the Dems in the sample. If the survey numbers entirely stem from party ID, then it must show that the group of non-Democrats agree with Obama's positions a significant portion of the time. And on 4 issues, McCain can't even retain the 20% of his own partisans (presumably, Republicans + Libertarians) and on 1 other, can't exceed his partisans (i.e., reaching only 20% support).

There are statistical tests that can be done to see if partisanship skews the survey results, and Adams himself is forced to admit (in a followup post) that there was a rather large degree of party-line crossing on several of the issues considered.

Adams seems completely unable to conceive of the idea that economists might support the Democrats more than Republicans because the Democrats over the past 25 years have not pushed a whole succession of batshit-crazy economic ideas as the basis for their governing philosophy. Republicans TELL LIES about the economy (for example "reductions in capital gains taxes always increase revenues"). They still subscribe to the completely discredited supply-side economics. They still think there's no such thing as a bad tax cut (or a good tax increase). They have shown themselves irresponsible in governing, racking up record deficits and mis-spending what funds are available inefficiently.

In other words, if you look at the way Republicans act once they are in power, they implement economic policies that no economist but a partisan hack would consider good. Is it, then, surprising that most economists would not rationally pick the party that has been promoting economically sensible policies over the one that talks economic nonsense?

This is not something Adams seems able to imagine, since he lives in that disconnected fantasy world where, Nader-like, there is no difference between the two parties. In fact, there are long-term massive objective differences between the two parties on facts and on support of widely-accepted best practices in the field of economics.

But Adams got an answer he didn't like (he wanted a tie or a McCain win) and must explain it away with accusations of bias. In doing so he plugs into all the right-wing memes about academic political bias, as well as subscribing to a strong current of anti-intellectualism, this latter despite the fact that he paid a lot of money to consult with experts.

Scott Adams is simply a moron.

If you've been paying attention, though, you already knew that.

Addendum: Adams has the honesty to post a comment by an economist that explains the party ID differences thus:

In general, I suspect the economists who favor Obama tend to have a greater relative weight on equity vs. efficiency compared to economists who favor McCain. Both groups might agree that both efficiency and equity are important, but they disagree PHILOSOPHICALLY (outside of their training as economists) on the relative importance of these two social values.

A preference for equity over efficiency would likely make these economists vote Democratic, since the history of the Democratic party's economic policies has been almost entirely a succession of efforts to improve economic equity.


 
Comments to David W. Fenton
©2002-2009, David W. Fenton
This page is powered by Blogger.