Miscellaneous ruminations on random subjects
 
My homepage
David Fenton Associates
The Scarlet A of Atheism
 
Atom Feed
Atom Feed
Archives
<< current

No Comment
 
Items for Thursday, October 09, 2008
 

Small Donors: The media is once again exhibiting its ignorance in reporting the story of the Republicans alleging that Obama's campaign is not reporting small donors' identities. They don't understand the difference between reporting requirements and the data that gets collected about donors.

I have been doing database application programming for a political fundraising organization since 2000, and the fact is that even though they are not required to *report* donors under $200, they still *track* all the donations and have all the information. This means that if someone donates $100 three times, there will be a record for that person with three contributions attached. The campaign will know that this person has donated $300 total even though no single campaign filing will reveal the identity of this donor.

The reason why is that campaigns have to track all donations from all donors to be sure that the donors don't exceed the contribution limits. In other words, if someone gives $100 and then tries to write a check for $2300, it will have to be rejected (and the campaign would ask for a check for $2200). The campaigns know this because they record the data in that manner precisely because they need to know who is bumping up against the contribution limits.

Now, I guess it's possible that some campaigns use software that is not as well-written as my client's (I was brought in to revise an existing application, and the contribution limit checking was already in place, though the sophistication of the process has been vastly improved since I took it over) and that the software they are using makes no attempt to match an incoming contribution to a donor that already exists in their database of contributors. And certainly online credit card contributions certainly make this harder to track.

But, nonetheless, these campaigns don't *want* to accept contributions that exceed the limits because it just isn't worth it:

  1. There can be fines and penalties for exceeding contribution limits.
  2. Violations of contribution limits require a lot of administrative work to refund the contributions when they are discovered.
  3. Once the violation is corrected, the campaign then has to create amended filings that reflect the refunds.
  4. If those violations get reported to the public, it can cause a huge political scandal.

When I first started working on this project, I had read a lot about campaign contribution shenanigans and thought the campaigns were really dirty, and trying to game the system. But once I saw it from the inside, and realized exactly how much major campaigns rely on volunteers for help in processing the huge volume of $$$ that can come in during the last few weeks of a campaign, I realized that honest mistakes are a natural consequence of the process. Human error is often the cause -- a transposed pair of letters in the data entry of a person's name can cause a match with a previous donor record to be missed (and don't think there is no check on loose matches -- there's a whole bunch of code in the lookup process that tries to find the closest record in the event of a non-exact match on name).

In short, what I realized was that these organizations are *never* doing this on purpose, because the cost would just not be worth it at all. And most of the cost is not in the fines or adminstrative costs, but in the political fallout that comes from the publicity when problems are discovered and reported in the media.

So, I really think this is just another example of trumped-up Republican hysteria. And the only reason the Republicans don't have exactly the same problem is because they are so damned unattractive to voters that they just aren't getting the myriad small donors that Obama is.


Items for Wednesday, October 08, 2008
 

David Brooks Almost Fooled Me: I usually can't abide David Brooks's columns, but on the train home tonight, I got around to reading yesterday's column. I was thinking "Wow! This is one of the best columns of his I've ever read! I haven't gotten pissed off at his stupidity even once!"

Right up until the last paragraph:

Until these and other issues are addressed, the global markets will lack confidence in asset values. Bankers will cower, afraid to lend. America?s role as the global hub will be threatened. Europeans will drift toward nationalization. Neomercantilists will fill the vacuum.

This is the test. This is the problem that will consume the next president. Meanwhile, the two candidates for that office are talking about Bill Ayers and Charles Keating.

Indeed, he had me with him right up through his last sentence, and then he has to go and ruin it. The fact is, comparing Bill Ayres and Charles Keating as Brooks does is a false equivalency. One is a casual acquaintance of the candidate, while the other was the prime mover behind pushing the other candidate onto the national stage.

Worse still, if McCain weren't talking about Ayers, Obama wouldn't need to be pointing out McCain's association with Keating as a way of showing how hypocritcal and dishonest McCain is.

This is what happens all the time among the elite punditocracy -- they can't seem to bring themselves to come out and state the obvious:

One candidate is a disaster, a dishonest and dishonorable man who has taken his campaign into the gutter. And that candidate is John McCain.


 

Backwards Blogs: Why has the convention of live-blogging events developed such that the last item is always placed at the top? Do they really expect that readers are going to be reading them in real time, and hitting refresh over and over again? If so, why would posting in order not work just as well, since hitting a soft refresh won't reload the whole page, just the changed part?

I find it extremely annoying reading these things in reverse and think the whole convention should be completely abandoned.


 

Second Presidential Debate: I saw the debate last night but haven't read any blogosphere reaction. I did watch the PBS and MSNBC post mortems, and talked a bit about it with my roommate (who hasn't watched the campaign terribly closely, though he's pretty well-informed as a regular Daily Show/Colbert Report watcher).

  • What was with McCain standing up and wandering around all the time while Obama spoke? There was an enormous contrast between the demeanor of the two while the other party was speaking -- Obama was completely relaxed and attentive to what McCain had to say. But while Obama spoke, McCain wandered around, and hardly ever sat down and just listened. I couldn't help but think that McCain looked like one of the crazy old men you might see wandering about aimlessly in the background at a nursing home. I'm pretty sure I know why he didn't sit down -- he didn't want to look shorter than Obama -- but the end result was that he looked kinda crazy.
  • Obama didn't take notes even once, so far as I noticed, yet he was completely in command of what he wanted to say and never missed an opportunity to respond to what McCain had said. Obama didn't *need* notes, yet McCain appeared to.
  • I'm not sure if McCain lied less often or if I'm just getting used to, but I didn't shout at the TV as often as I have in the first two debates.
  • Could Brokaw's plan for 1-minute discussion have been any worse? He was asking substantive followups that required more than 1 minute between the candidates (or even 1 minute each), and if they went over, it was Brokaw's own damned fault for asking what amounted to followup questions that simply required more time than he allowed them. It seemed rather churlish of him to ask such questions and then refuse them the time it took to answer -- very seldom did either candidate filibuster in response to Brokaw's followup questions.
  • Why in the hell would anyone think that Warren Buffet would want to be Secretary of the Treasury?

Otherwise, an uneventful debate. Obama looked more and more presidential and McCain looked more and more out of touch, just repeating the same old stuff.


 
Comments to David W. Fenton
©2002-2009, David W. Fenton
This page is powered by Blogger.